Eynesbury Property Market: R-Score Dropped 20 Points | Suburb Check

You asked us to run the numbers on Eynesbury — here’s what the data says. The big story is a 20-point R-Score drop in a single month, with zero house sales for three consecutive months. → R-Score fell from the 96th percentile in May to 76th in June 2025 → Median price is shown at $729,000, but that’s a stale carry-forward from zero sales in Apr, May and Jun → Honest price range from recent volume: $690,000 to $730,000 → Asking prices were cut from $754,000 in December to $695,000 in June → Days on market blew out from 28 days to 253 days → Vacancy is 0.32% and rent is $460 a week, with house yield at 3.28% Verdict: watch, not buy. Eynesbury still has strong underlying fundamentals — 83% owner-occupied, zero public housing, SEIFA decile 10 — but the sales market has frozen and the exit is the problem right now. This is the kind of suburb where professional data matters most, because the community quality is real but timing is everything. Download our no-cost Top Five Markets Report 2026 → https://ripe.house/five-eynesbury Want your suburb checked next? Drop it in the comments. Subscribe for the next Suburb Check. #Eynesbury #VICProperty #AustralianProperty #PropertyInvesting #SuburbCheck This video is general information only and not financial or investment advice. Consider your own circumstances and seek professional advice.

20 points. That's how far this suburb's R-score dropped in a single month. Ainsbury, 44 kilometres west of the Melbourne CBD, was a 96th percentile performer in May. By June it was 76th. Anna sent us one word, Ainsbury, so here's the data. What broke, why the sales market has frozen, and whether this is a buying opportunity or a warning. Roadmap, five things. The R-score collapse. I'll show you the chart. Price and velocity, why asking prices have been cut and homes sit for 253 days. The sales freeze, zero house sales for three months. What's still working, because there are genuine strengths here, and the verdict, stay for the verdict. This suburb is a canary for the outer Melbourne market. Ainsbury, 44 kilometres west of Melbourne in the city of Melton, a designated growth corridor. Neighbours, Melton South, Brookfield, Exford. The anchor is the Township Centre, golf course, primary school, general store, no rail station. Nearest is Melton Station, eight kilometres north. The Western Freeway gets you to the CBD in about 50 minutes. Census, 882 dwellings. GNAF address data suggests it's already over 2,100. This is a master plan community being built in real time. The R-score, our composite momentum model, supply, demand, yield, short-term price signals into one number. Ainsbury's chart is striking. For three years, it ran between the 89th and 97th percentile. June 2025, 89th September, 96th December, 95th March, 2026, 95th April, 97th May, 96th then June, 76th, a 20 point collapse in 30 days. The largest single month drop in Ainsbury's history. Something changed. The price data, and this needs the honest version. The headline median says $729,000, but that's based on zero sales in April, May and June. It's a stale carry forward from one sale in March. The two months with real volume, November at $690,000 with 12 sales and February at $725,000 with 12. Honest range, $690,000 to $730,000. But the signal is in the asking prices, peaked at $754,000 in December. By June, $695,000. That's a $59,000 cut, 8% in three months. Vendors are chasing the market down. Velocity. Days on market, 253 days. A year ago, 28 days. That's nine times longer to sell a house and DOM data stops at February. We've had three months of zero sales since. The real figure is worse. Meanwhile, vacancy, 0.32%. Extremely tight. Rental market is on fire. The sales market has seized up. This is not a suburb where people are leaving. It's a suburb where nobody is transacting. Hold that. Zero house sales, April, May, June, 2026. Not low, zero. For over 2,000 address points, that's extraordinary. The stock on market is 86 listings, 63 houses. In a suburb of 882 census dwellings, that's roughly 10% of stock listed. The AI snapshot flagged days of supply up 37.6%. Buyers have stepped back from the entire outer Melbourne master planned estate segment. Aynsbury is just the clearest signal. What's still working? Aynsbury is 83% owner occupied, the highest in Melton LGA, only 9% investor owned. Public housing, zero. Rental vacancy at 0.32% means tenant risk is practically non-existent. SEIFA, Decile, 10 across all four dimensions, top 10% nationally. These are not weak fundamentals. This is a quality community that has hit a sales wall. Quick pause. This framework, supply, demand, yield, momentum, is the same screen we run across every Australian suburb. Five elements, employment, price trend, lifestyle, population, minus supply risk. Aynsbury's model is red on momentum and amber o