Penrith (NSW 2750) in Focus 2026: $1,020,000 Median, 3.2% Yield & 65/100 R-Score

Market Classification: Accelerating Momentum Turnaround · R-Score: 65/100 (National Rank #5,498 of 15,286) · Street Average: 13/100 across 170 streets.

Lagging 12-month median price tables often miss the inflection point when a suburb transitions from quiet accumulation into active expansion. Over the past year, Penrith’s R-Score has climbed by +23 points to 65/100 as days on market (96 days) and rental vacancy (3.7%) tightened ahead of the broader NSW market.

Below is our full September 2026 quantitative and street-level breakdown for Penrith (NSW 2750), combining 36 months of settled price and rental history from our Aurora research warehouse, council-level supply and employment data for Penrith (NSW), and block-by-block ABS 2021 Census SA1 tenure and yield rankings across 18,062 residential addresses.

1. Penrith (NSW) 3-Year Market Trajectory & 27-Indicator R-Score (September 2026)

Over the past 12 months, Penrith’s median house price moved -8.1% (from $1,110,000 to $1,020,000), bringing its 3-year cumulative price movement to +6.5% (from $958,000 three years ago). On the rental side, median weekly asking rents moved +1.6% over the past year to $630/wk (-2.9% over 36 months), equating to a 3.2% gross rental yield. Compared with 12 months ago—when Penrith carried an R-Score of 42/100—its current composite R-Score of 65/100 represents a +23-point shift in underlying market pressure.

Indicator / R-Score Pillar	Penrith (NSW) Current	12-Month / 36-Month Context
Composite Suburb R-Score	65 / 100	Ranked #5,498 of 15,286 suburbs (was 42/100 12m ago)
Median House Price	$1,020,000	12m change: -8.1% · 36m change: +6.5%
Median Weekly Rent & Gross Yield	$630/wk (3.2%)	12m rent change: +1.6% · 36m rent change: -2.9%
Rental Vacancy & Days on Market	3.7% vacancy	Median selling time: 96 days on market (1.5% vacancy is the tight-market line)
Pillar 1: Buyer Demand	32 / 100	Measures days-on-market compression, vendor discounting & sales velocity
Pillar 2: Supply & Ownership	28 / 100	Measures stock on market, building approvals vs stock & owner-occupier share
Pillar 3: Price Momentum	66 / 100	Measures short/medium-term price velocity vs Penrith & NSW
Pillar 4: Yield Pressure	41 / 100	Measures gross rental yield, rent trajectory & vacancy compression

2. The “Two-Speed Suburb” Test: Best & Worst Streets in Penrith (NSW)

Why do two 4-bedroom houses in Penrith achieve completely different bank valuations and tenant quality? Because suburb medians blend every pocket together. When we map all 18,062 addresses across 170 streets in Penrith through G-NAF to their ABS 2021 Census SA1 blocks, the suburb splits into three distinct tiers:

• Strong Street Profile (Score 75–100): 3 streets (2% of scored streets) pass both ABS Census tenure tests (owner-occupiers >65% and public housing ≤5%) plus at least one—or both—of the Penrith rent and yield benchmarks.
• Mid / Mixed Street Profile (Score 50–74): 1 streets pass the core owner-occupier and public-housing thresholds but sit below the suburb median on weekly rent or yield.
• Weaker / Caution Street Profile (Score 0–25): 137 streets fail one or both census tenure thresholds—meaning either owner-occupation sits at or below 65% or state/community public housing exceeds 5% on those specific SA1 blocks.

Top 5 Highest-Scoring Streets in Penrith (NSW)

These streets sit in SA1 census blocks with high homeowner pride of ownership, minimal social housing concentration, and strong block-level rents (inspect all 170 streets in Penrith):

Top Street in Penrith	Street Score	Addresses	Owner-Occupiers	Public Housing	SA1 Rent & Yield
#1 Ladbury Avenue	75/100	98	81%	0%	$1350/wk (4.4%)
#2 Memorial Avenue	75/100	24	81%	0%	$1350/wk (4.4%)
#3 Recreation Avenue	75/100	12	81%	0%	$1350/wk (4.4%)
#4 Nepean Avenue	68/100	115	78%	0%	$1253/wk (4.7%)
#5 Retreat Drive	25/100	145	64%	0%	$610/wk (6.8%)

Streets Where Block-Level Tenure Trails the Penrith Average

By contrast, the streets below run through SA1 census blocks that fail one or more of our tenure or rental tests. A lower Street Score is not a judgement of any individual house, but it highlights where higher renter turnover or public housing concentration exists within Penrith:

Caution Street Sample	Street Score	Addresses	Owner-Occupiers	Public Housing	SA1 Median Rent
Torton Place	0/100	82	27%	45.9%	$485/wk
Rawson Avenue	0/100	51	27%	45.9%	$485/wk
Chapman Avenue	0/100	47	27%	45.9%	$485/wk

3. Economic & Supply Drivers in Penrith Council (New South Wales)

Penrith sits within the Penrith Local Government Area, which has a residential population of approximately 231,701 (+4.7% population movement over the past 3 years) and 71,111 total dwellings. Three council-level fundamentals shape Penrith’s medium-term outlook:

• Local Employment Diversity (ABS Census): The largest employment sectors across Penrith are Health Care and Social Assistance (14%), Retail Trade (12%), Education and Training (10%), Construction (9%). Multi-sector employment reduces reliance on any single employer or commodity cycle.
• New Building Approvals vs. Existing Stock: Over the latest 12-month financial year, Penrith approved 2% new dwelling stock (~1,532.854 dwellings). Because new approvals exceed 1.8% of stock, investors in Penrith must avoid generic greenfield house-and-land pockets and stick to established, built-out streets.
• Tracked Infrastructure Pipeline: Penrith currently has $11.7 billion in tracked major infrastructure projects (placing it in the 89th percentile of Australian councils).

4. Worked Cashflow, Deposit & 80% LVR Stress-Test for Penrith (September 2026)

What does it actually cost to acquire and hold a typical house in Penrith at today’s median price of $1,020,000 and median rent of $630/wk? Below is the baseline 80% Loan-to-Value Ratio (LVR) model we use to stress-test serviceability before shortlisting a property:

Cashflow & Capital Item	Penrith Worked Figure	Assumptions & Notes
Purchase Price (Suburb Median)	$1,020,000	Settled house median as of September 2026
20% Deposit + Est. Stamp Duty & Costs	$252,960	$204,000 deposit (80% LVR) + ~$48,960 stamp duty, legal & inspection allowance (can be funded via usable home equity)
80% LVR Loan Amount	$816,000	Standard no-LMI investor loan threshold
Gross Annual Rental Income	$32,760/yr ($630/wk)	3.2% gross rental yield before vacancies and expenses
Est. Annual Interest + Operating Costs	$62,220/yr	Assumes 6.25% interest-only ($51,000/yr) + ~1.1% for council rates, insurance & property management ($11,220/yr)
Pre-Tax Weekly Cashflow Position	-$567/wk top-up	Before tax deductions / depreciation (confirm post-tax position with your accountant)

5. Who Should Buy in Penrith—And 3 Rules Before You Make an Offer

R-Score Jumped +23 Points Over the Past 12 Months. Based on our September 2026 data, Penrith is best suited to equity-backed homeowners and portfolio builders seeking a balanced entry price ($1,020,000) and 3.2% rental yield in NSW.

1. Never Buy Blind on the Suburb Median: In Penrith, 137 streets score below 50/100 on our census tenure and yield tests. Always run the exact street through the Penrith Street Score Hub and target the 3 streets scoring 75–100/100.
2. Check Lot-Level Overlays (Flood, Bushfire, Slope & Easements): Even on a 100/100 streetlike Ladbury Avenue, individual lots can carry overland flow paths, steep gradients, or sewer easements that restrict granny-flat additions or spike insurance premiums.
3. Price Against Street-Matched Settled Comparables: Do not let a selling agent justify an asking price on a 25/100 street using comparable sales from a 100/100 street. Compare settled sales within the same SA1 Street Score band.